I'm not so sure that we can say this today, and I do know that the Cardinals wouldn't make this commitment today. Not with some of the other options they want to see out there. Either way, this is a really fascinating question to me because ... gosh, I'm not sure anymore. What would it take? I few years ago, I'm thinking that Ozuna is going to have to get somewhere in that Ellsbury world, certainly closer to what Heyward got than what you're suggesting here. But the free agent market is all upside down now, it's harder to know where a player fits, and in the outfield there's not the clear lines to draw as comps that help us see what a player will chase. I think we start with whatever the modern number is for Holliday/Werth that group. So they got seven years, $120 million. Modern says fewer years. So you've got that dropping to five. Makes some sense. And you've inflation and then the higher AAV to stomach the fewer years. I bet you're going to land in that same realm over five years. That seems realistic. But it's really tricky in this market. He'll be two years younger than Goldschmidt and Goldschmidt has the better track record. So, let's factor that into the salary, but his age into the length, and you're pack in that five-year, $110m-$120m range? That wouldn't be a shock, but that's based on a stronger assertive healthy season that brings back visions of 2017 and not concerns of 2018.
It's entirely possible I haven't seen it yet. There are nearly 200 questions still in here.
That is correct. He recently threw a 60-pitch outing against extended spring hitters and he did so behind an L-screen. He may be in line for an 80-pitch outing, or just had one. Not sure on the day that was supposed to happen. But this week he's going to get closer to and surpass 80 pitches. That was the schedule outlined by the Cardinals. So, quite a jump during the three weeks without being able to use his left hand.
Ah. That was the question. Got it. Well, let me disappoint you: The Cardinals.
I still don't see why on Earth he would sign such a deal. It would basically buy out one year of the qualifying offer, get him to the end of the current CBA on the bet that the draft pick won't be lurking for him at the end, and then get another bite at the apple at the same age that Goldschmidt is now -- which how has that worked out for outfielders? I'd like to see the logic behind this offer. The $21m makes a lot of sense -- as mentioned moments ago -- the two years seems to put him in a worse position than the market would suggest any player wants. Sure, the Cardinals would be interest in a deal that isn't a max-out for a player. Every team would be. Maybe that's the logic. There would be more teams interested in him at that offer and he could just choose where he wants to play then.
He had a stiff neck yesterday. He was limited what he could do. The hamstring has healed. Off the top of my head, I cannot remember the other thing that made him unavailable for one of the recent days. It wasn't a big thing, just a day thing, like Fowler recovering from the virus. So, yesterday was a decision made by availability. Bader would have started if he was available. Shildt said that.
We have these events every so often through the year. I'm sure they're in the process of planning another one. Date TBD. They're enjoyable. We also did a "Pitch Talks" event a few years ago and that would be good to do again given the proliferation of coverage on the Cardinals even in the past year, from the TV stations and The Athletic, etc. This Wednesday, I'll be signing my book and also talking baseball and taking questions in an event at Left Bank Books in the Central West End. Really looking forward to that.
They do count. But he couldn't throw in the majors now with a broken hand, so better to throw somewhere than have start from scratch like spring training. It's not ideal. That's for sure. But these outings and these pitches are all going to be baked into his limits, for sure. I think a half season as a starter is going to be a lot to ask at this point from Reyes -- whether it's the limits or the consistency. The goal for him has been and will be and was from the start to get him ready for the 2020 rotation.
It's not a bad question. Very few questions are stupid. There is also a good part to the question -- and some questions should be measured by the answer they get, not whether the question showed off some sort of knowledge. I don't know if this is the case for Reyes because I haven't thought to ask, honestly. But for Luke Weaver, when he had to do the same thing, he wore a glove. He wore it for like you side -- balance, and somewhat protection. I asked recently if Reyes was pitching in a similar setup as Luke Weaver, and the answer was yes. I've not seen anyone pitch behind an L-screen without a glove, unless that person was a coach throwing BP.
Sure. It's the lack of potent bats to take their place that would give me pause. I see plenty of bats with questionable defense these days to fill the DH, but finding the replacement who belongs in the majors is a real concern, for sure. Might mean we see a lot of good-glove, no-bat replacements. Should be interesting.
Thank you for subscribing. That does help all of use continue with the coverage -- which we know has to rise to the level of earning your investment and gathering others. I have 10/5 rights at this point. Ten years at the same paper, and more than five years on the same beat. So, in baseball terms, that gives me no-trade protection, right? Right? Right?
I think we would have seen lineup changes throughout the tough stretch, headed into the tough stretch, and some aggressive uses of the bullpen. It would have been really interesting to me, how the managers would have handled Dakota Hudson on Sunday. An off day Monday. A full bullpen, relatively, and undoubtedly a long reliever out there waiting for the moment. I doubt that Hudson gets a chance to get through six innings. That change would be made too.
Way different sports, though. I mean, Reyes needs his hands to make plays -- at any moment he could be putting that broken hand in position to get hit by a line drive coming back at his head at 110-mph. That could happen. Without warning. That isn't happening in football, not where you see players wearing casts. He could wear something protective, once he gets to that point, and he will. We see this with hitters and with catchers and every so often an outfielder or so. But there is obvious awhile where the fear will be causing another injury. He'll get by that before he gets in a game, and that was expected to be three weeks after the initial damage. He's coming up on it.
I'm not sure. Piscotty has done well in Oakland, for sure. There is no guarantee he would be the same player with the Cardinals. There just isn't.
Not from what I can tell, no.
His hold on the rotation spot is the inverse of the performance of others. Allow me to elaborate. He's got a good hold on it now, in part because the Cardinals could see the performance of other candidates and decide that Hudson needs a spin-cycle through Memphis, or something to tune his consistency. If the Cardinals had two alternatives storming through the system or were to go outside and add another option, then you'd see the hold loosen a little bit for anyone who isn't performing as well as the new person. There's a lot of truth in any profession I imagine that the hold you have on you job is only as strong as your performance compared to the person who could replace you.
This is a good point, and one that could contribute, even a teeny bit, to the relief thing.
Arms heal. But your point is noted. He wouldn't help today.