Cardinals chat with Derrick Goold

Cardinals chat with Derrick Goold

Bring your Cardinals questions and comments, and talk to Post-Dispatch baseball writer Derrick Goold in a live chat at 1 p.m. Monday..




    Is Shildt his own man when it comes to managing this team or does he show up to work everyday, thank his lucky stars for the opportunity, and willingly acquiesce to whatever the FO tells him? Obviously Tony didn't do that but Matheny did. And it went sour with Matheny.
    Shildt is his own man, but I think there is something to the collaboration that is requested and required by the front office and welcomed by Shildt. I mean he's hired a liaison between the team and the analytics department so those are factored into his decisions and are share the influence of the front office clearly. The same rules still stand: He makes the lineup, front office makes the roster. I do see fingerprints from Shildt on the roster, and you can bet he had heavy influence in Reyes being on the opening day roster out of the bullpen. He brought that up recently, and even said that it didn't work out was on him.
     
    Your read on Matheny and that situation is off.
    You chosen us for anting someone to “lose their job”, but I think that implies a degree of permanence that doesn’t mesh with a demotion to the minors to work on problems and show you are ready to come back. Most of us work in positions where sustained failure to perform at a satisfactory level really does result in loss of job. We don’t see that as a bad thing for the organization, and in the long run often not a bad thing for the individual, as it forces finding a job that is a better fit. We all want every player to have success, but it doesn’t always happen. When a player is failing, something different has to happen or he drags the organization down.
    That's a good point. I get it. And that's one of the things that I try to point out -- a job is in jeopardy when someone is available to do it better. I wake up everyday thinking about that possibility in my own career. How do I stay ahead? I'm sure I'm not alone, and you outline that well.
     
    My point is simply that a lot of the questions aren't about losing a job to be replaced by someone better they're about losing a job as punishment. Punitive DFA, if you will. That's a species of opinion that seems to have proliferated with chats and social media and I find it interesting. I should be more clear when saying that's what I'm talking about. The pound of flesh questions.
    Curious, what were your thoughts on Endgame? Are you satisfied with the ending of the Infinity Saga?

    I'm excited for Far From Home. Mysterio is a fun villian (ally?) and the implications of the multiverse are wild.
    I am satisfied with Endgame. It hit all the right notes, had all the right applause lines, was far-fetched and far-reaching and totally enjoyable. Satisfied is a good word for it.
     
    I am not buying into Mysterio's act. I've seen it before.
    If you had to pick one name the Cardinals have a good chance of acquiring at the deadline who would it be?
    I have no clue as of today. Sorry. Too many variables. Too many unknowns. Too far away.
    Where is Brett Cecil at in the rehab process? Any chance he make a contribution to the parent club sometime this year?
    Met with the doctor today in St. Louis to get clearance to being a throwing program this week. That throwing program will take one month. Then he will be off the mound and headed toward competition, ala spring training. The timing still sets up for All-Star break.
    Any chance Josh Bell will be a free agent soon? He would look great in a Cardinals uniform
  • To replace Paul Goldschmidt? I think the Cardinals are set at 1B for awhile. Haven't said that in awhile.
    You mentioned that production is what's keeping guys where they are (e.g., Memphis). Then what exactly is keeping Carpenter where he is? It's not production.
    It actually is. Track record. That's part of it. That is a factor. It's what kept Ozuna in the lineup all of last year, and it's what kept Goldschmidt in the lineup during his recent slump. Track record is a factor.
    I am going to make a statement that will sound crazy on its surface. I think you could make a case that the worst thing that has happened to the Cardinals this century is winning the Series in 2006 and 2011. This has given management and ownership the idea that postseason success is pure luck, and that there is zero correlation between roster quality and postseason success. I think those two wins were not pure luck, that a Hall of Fame manager outmanaged other managers. When you look at the last 3 years, the team that I thought was the best in baseball won each year. Thoughts?
    Well, if they think postseason success is not somewhat based on luck, then they agree with every other team and math. Luck has a tremendous influence on the postseason. Getting there? No, that's based on health and talent and roster construction and competition and the division. But once there ... well, let me turn to an expert. Several years ago, I was having a conversation about building a roster specifically for postseason success and whether or not that was a wise idea or even something that a team could do. An executive with a team suggested that the best way to go about this would be to build a team to win over the longhaul -- depth, talent, stay ahead of division rivals -- and then hope that three pitchers or something emerge and get hot and carry you to the championships. The Boston Red Sox of 2018 are the outlier, for example. This executive said, and let me paraphrase within the quotes because I don't have the precise quote handy, that's because "the postseason is a crapshoot. Short series. Teams get hot. It takes some luck."
     
    That executive? Theo Epstein.
     
    But no team thinks the postseason is entirely luck. As you outlined, the Cardinals are very aware that they survived the NLCS and got the pennant through a plucky bullpen and the creative use of that bullpen through a gifted manager and pitching coach. No doubt there. And Freese. Freese helped. And they even got that far because Chris Carpenter and Roy Halladay locked in a duel that no one should have lost and the Cardinals got fortunate -- and they played well. But on a one-run, winner-take-all like that can you really say that Philly didn't play well enough to win five out of 10 times, and the Cardinals played well enough to win five out of 10 times, and this one time they did. 
     
    It was the best thing for the Cardinals to win 2006 because it gave that era a championship the 2004 team earned and the 2005 team could have had. It balanced the scales. It was the best thing for the Cardinals to win 2011 because, hey, it gave St. Louis David Freese and that 1-0 win in Philly, and so much else as they said goodbye to Pujols, Duncan, and La Russa -- three Hall of Famers. It sold more tickets. It bought goodwill with most fans. It kept them ahead of the Dodgers and Giants as far as championships go by an NL team, and so on. What it didn't do is say that the postseason is complete luck because both of those teams had a lot of talent. 
     
    Carpenter. Pujols. Wainwright. Rolen, Edmonds, Eckstein. Molina. 
     
    There is a lot of correlation between roster quality and postseason success. Start with the fact that I've never ever seen a lousy roster even get to the postseason, and to win the postseason a team has to get there. That has been a big problem for the Cardinals recently. You may have heard.
     
    Just to confirm, if Rosenthal’s report on MadBum’s no- trade list is accurate, there is no need to discuss him as a trade target, correct?
    Ken Rosenthal is aces. I trust him. That has nothing to do with whether you explore a trade or not. Stanton had a no-trade clause. The Cardinals still talked to him, in person. Justin Verlander had a no-trade clause. Houston still tried to trade for him, and now look at him.
    Any talk of moving Gant to the 5th spot?
  • There hasn't been because of the success he's had in the role carved out for him. That's been one of the things that really stands out to me. There was a time when a pitcher like Gant would have been placed under glass and only used in an emergency and maybe come out of that case in the second, third inning, fourth inning Sunday and pitched well and then all of sudden be back in the rotation. But, now, he's valuable in relief, he's being used in relief, and there hasn't been that chatter that he'd move into the fifth spot. His arc for 2019 has already been fascinating.
  • Derrick,
    The past few chats we have be having a back an forth around using the term "leash". I have never thought about it before, and your arguments against its use in baseball vernacular have swayed me. For someone who isn't in the word business, do you have some suggestions for phrases us chatters can use instead and maybe we can rid us of the phrase?
    Thanks for the note. Latitude is a good word. Or just say what you mean. How elastic is the commitment to this player? How much room does he have to fail? How much give does he get before he's replaced? There are so so so many ways to say this without the euphemism.
    I'm starting to get uneasy, Derrick. Starting rotation and Carpenter are making me nervous. Talk me down...what are the positives here?

    Thanks!
    The defense seems to have righted itself after troubles.
    did you think they did enough character development to support dany's transition into the mad queen
    So which team is the real Cardinals? the April Cardinals or the May Cardinals?
    Trick question. The answer is always the October Cardinals! And if they're not there, then there is a significant issue facing this team, this front office, and this ownership group -- and probably this fan base that continues to purchase tickets are a remarkable and enviable rate.
    Alright. That seems like a good chance to close up the chat for a week. Thanks for the strong group of questions today. This could have fallen into an Airing of the Grievances, and it really didn't. That's thanks to you. Great thoughts. Lots of good points in here, and some questions that really forced me to think and back my view or my opinion on the subject. Sprinkled in there was also a compliment that stung more than any criticism I've ever received. So, that was new. 
     
    The chat will be back next week. Same day. Check your local listings for time. The Cardinals will be coming back from their first visit to Texas since the aforementioned 2011 World Series. It's been a long time coming -- and they're just in time to say goodbye to the ballpark there. Should be interesting to see what this lineup looks like with a DH. Might be better. Might be the best lineup the Cardinals could field, obviously. Pivotal week coming. More of the same from this past week and the slow-play, the trust-play of the rotation and the lineup will have to change.
     
    Rick Hummel has the keyboard in Atlanta. You guys will be getting his gamers all week. Lucky you. I'll be back in the mix as the road trip shifts to Texas.
     
    Now, if you'll excuse me I have to get to dinner with the family and tell them all about what Alex Reyes is doing on his rehab these days only to have them correct me and say they were asking about Anthony Reyes, the World Series winner turned firefighter.
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