Derrick Goold chats Cardinals baseball from the World Series at 10 a.m. Monday

Derrick Goold chats Cardinals baseball from the World Series at 10 a.m. Monday

Bring your Cardinals questions and comments to a live chat with Derrick Goold at 10 a.m. Monday.

    Greetings from Arlington, Texas, a few blocks away from the new ballpark here and the site of the 2020 World Series. By winning an excellent Game 7 against Atlanta in the NLCS, the Dodgers won the NL pennant and will advance to their third World Series in four seasons. The Randy Arozarenas await them as the AL pennant winners. Sorry for the delay to the start. Many phone calls as I try to get set for the coverage all the week -- and there's a chance there will be the need to do some reporting during the chat, as always. Looking forward to your questions. Feel like I'm out of practice after all the traveling around recently with the Cardinals. So, let's get Cardinals Chat on the Road underway. Accountability, ahoy!
    Would the Mets be willing to listen on offers for Conforto? One more year to free agency and need some help on back end of rotation. Same situation with Trevor Story for the Rockies? That’s some HRs...
    Certainly a phone call that other teams will make. The New York Mets, with a new owner coming in during a pandemic, are viewed as one of the teams that might actually make a play on the free-agent market that's larger than other teams who have not sold a ticket for six months. What that shakes loose from their roster -- unknown at this point. If they're going to outfit that team with trades and free agents to become more competitive in the NL East, it's difficult to see how Conforto wouldn't be a part of that plan. That said, they'll be in the market for pitching (Bauer? Trade?) and that's the call to make. I find the Mets a particularly interesting team, but that's mostly because it seems like they're going to try for the Jiffy-Pop contention during this curious offseason and not because they're going to tear down to build up.
    Isn’t it nice that this team finally has an identity again that is consistent from the front office to the field? It’s an identity I believe in (run prevention, fundamentals and lineup depth in terms of obp) Seems like we’re 1 piece away... a cleanup hitter. That’s it. That’s all we need. Yes?
    They need a batter (or two) that changes the look of the offense and upgrades from below average to slightly above average -- so that it can support the superb pitching and run-prevention style that you reference. The Cardinals would be a much better contender during the season and in the postseason with an average offense. That's it. Just an average offense. Some of that offense does have to come from the traditional offense positions of outfield, especially the corner outfield spots. Those are key. That's where the Cardinals should seek more production, and if that means cleanup hitter. Sure. One other direction to go is to get players on base ahead of Goldschmidt. A No. 2 hitter that is a mix of damage and OBP would also do that. Basically, the Cardinals need more consistency from at least two hitters so that teams can't just slip around Goldschmidt and avoid him, and he gets more chances to drive in runs. If the Cardinals go another season without a 100 RBI hitter then it's a sign that 2021 wasn't a full season again or their offense didn't improve as it must.
    Hi Derrick - What are your feelings on the first 3 rounds of the playoffs being played without days off? Personally, I kind of like it. It gives a better sense of who has the better complete team as opposed to who has the better core group. Also makes managing more difficult and important. Thanks.
    I did like the challenge and the rhythm of it. It made for good TV. It was true to the regular season -- where there was always baseball, always a chance to win tomorrow, and so on. I think it made for a fascinating NLCS where the Braves went ahead 3-1 but it wasn't a given they'd win because there was a game right away, and then another one. No one sat on a win or a loss for very long, and there wasn't the chance to bring back the pitchers sooner or operate with a fresh bullpen after a travel day. 
    I don't know how this happens after 2020, though. The hope, of course, is that a neutral-site postseason isn't necessary in 2021, and if that's the case then travel returns to each series, and days are going to be needed for that. Maybe the first-round will always be at one site and played in three days. And maybe they alter the DS rounds -- I dunno. It is closer to the regular season, and I like that aspect. Just hard to figure out how to do it. And let's also throw in the obvious -- the TV partners are going to make this decision, really. If they want that many overlapping games again, they'll see the MLB schedule respond accordingly.
    Blows my mind that cardinals nation isn’t fixated on Arenado with that being the focus of all our energy. We were the leading suitor last off-season. I don’t buy for a second that Covid changed anything EXCEPT making him cheaper. Rockies are backed into a corner and they have to get rid of him this offseason. I say Gomber/Ponce, O’Neill and Prospect for Arenado and cash. Then we shed Carlos’ salary to make it work. I’d love your thoughts DG!
    I understand your point -- because what has happened with the pandemic and lack of ticket sales and trickle-nowhere revenues is that it makes it more likely for him to NOT OPT OUT. And that was part of the consideration for any suitor. Why give up a whole lot of talent if you're only going to get a few years of Arenado -- or you couldn't count on a few years or the few price of Arenado. That has somewhat changed. Though, it could change again, too, because if revenue starts flowing in, a new CBA comes up, or he just doesn't like where he's traded to -- then he still has that power. 
    He can opt out after the 2021 season -- and into the unknown. 
    Will the industry be in a better spot by then (doubtful)?
    Will there be labor unrest and possible work stoppage (possibly)?
    Those are significant factors, and each points toward him not opting out when given the chance because of the money he'd be walking away from.
    The Cardinals were not eager to take on the remainder of his contract or what was described as a $30-million AAV player. He makes $35 million this coming season and every season through 2024. The Cardinals did not like the idea of adding that salary. They would have to upgrade the talent offered in order to make the deal happen. And I don't see the makings of that in the names you offered. The Rockies could command more. And, finally, the most important part of this: Arenado has to push for a trade. That hasn't changed. He has to be the one that pushes to be moved. 
    I saw where Andrelton Simmons is going to be a free agent. If the Angels don’t resign him Cardinals should sign him move dejong to 3rd and assuming they would then trade Wong because of salary move Tom Ed to 2nd.
    Simmons was a good fit for the Cardinals four, five years ago. I don't see it now.
    Should we expect another dull offseason in terms of upgrading the offense? My fear is they use the excuse that it's hard to measure 2020 due to the shortened season and extended hiatus because of covid to say they really don't know what they have in Bader, O'niell, etc.
    Your fear is warranted. The Small Sample Size argument is definitely on the table. There is an issue with that, however, as outlined in a recent article at StlToday.com: It's not 2020. The numbers from 2019 also count. And those paint a picture of an outfield that has been well below average -- one of the lease productive outfields in the majors for more than the previous 200 games. And also a lineup that is absurdly poor at generating damage with runners in scoring position. From 2019-2020, here is what the Cardinals outfield has done (MLB rank):
    .236 (28th) MLB average .255
    .325 (17th) MLB average: .328
    .412 (24th) MLB average: .444
    .737 (23rd) MLB average: .772
    The Cardinals are one of two NL teams with less than 100 homers from the outfield and more than 650 strikeouts from the outfield. And that's not over a small sample size.
    That said, it could still be a dull offseason. The market could be frozen by lack of revenues. There could be few high-watt, familiar players on the move. The Cardinals could make a play for an outfielder that is viewed now as a platoon guy. And that won't be enough for the chatters. That won't tickle Twitter. Heck, the Cardinals should go shopping in the non-tender bins and see if there is a hitter there they could get -- or hitters. But that's not going to make headlines. That is going to seem like a dull offseason. Doesn't mean they shouldn't do it -- because there will be bats there, somewhere, that will be improve the lineup. They need to improve the lineup, whether they get likes and retweets or not.
    Derrick: Do you know if the Rays insisted on Arozarena in the Liberatore trade? If so, I think that's totally understandable, given the return. It could still turn out to be a fair deal. However, if Tampa Bay would have taken O'Neill or Bader instead and the Cardinals chose them over Arozarena ... oy vey.
    The Rays had tried to trade for Jose Martinez before. They were not going to move Liberatore in a deal for only Jose Martinez. The Cardinals offered other righthanded-hitting outfielders, and as you probably know they were eager to make that trade, and they were listening on most of the outfielders. They were reluctant to part with Bader and O'Neill, though they would entertain offers for either of those players at the time. They just wanted to get what they believed was adequate return. They did not get the offers expected on Adolis Garcia. They did get some interest in the O'Neill, Bader, and Lane Thomas trio. I do not know if the Rays preferred Bader and the Cardinals said no, and then pivoted to Arozarena. I'll add that O'Neill had backers with the Cardinals because they saw his power, wanted that power to manifest (still do), and they gave up a high price to get him and didn't want to turn Gonzales into Liberatore without getting more from O'Neill. I'll also add this key part of the decision: The Cardinals had an idea who their manager was going to play in the outfield too, and they could factor that into who they were willing to move.
    I do know that other than the Bader question, the Rays preferred Arozarena over the other outfielders who were available and that he was their target then to make the deal for Liberatore complete.
    In the PD a couple of days ago, there were pictures of the 1946 world series. Can you believe it, there was actually a picture of Ted Williams (one of the greatest hitters of all time) bunting for a single against the shift? TED WILLIAMS!!!! If he can do it, why can't others (will not mention Carpenters name here) do the same?
  • Consider the frustration that led to that bunt. Read up on the shift and Williams' response. It adds context to that bunt and -- yes, even the greats can bunt. And should when the situation calls for it. But check out last night's game and this whole postseason. It ain't bunts winning games. It's blasts. Power plays. Power wins. And it's a power game. Teams haven't figured out how to shift the defense to stop homers.
    I mean other than putting Mookie Betts in right field.
  • Do you think that the possibility of a move to seven inning games is less likely or has improved after experiencing it this year with the covid double headers?
    I think of all the changes that we saw -- DH, extra innings, expanded playoffs, geographic-based schedules -- this is the least likely to last. It was appreciated by the Cardinals because it allowed them to make up games fast and in a short amount of time without the mileage of the extra innings.
    But when they can sell tickets again? Owners are going to want two games. Not one doubleheader to sell a ticket to.
    How many fans will be allowed into Globe Life Park for the World Series games, and what was the reasoning for that location? Central Time Zone for TV?
    Neutral site was the priority. Predictable weather. Roof. These were the reasons, and, yes, Texas wanted something of a showcase for its brand new ballpark. The local policies regarding COVID-19 also factored in because elsewhere you couldn't have ticket sales. There will be 11,000+ (less than 12,000) at the game at last check. There have been fans at the NLCS, too. And there were thousands streaming out of the ballpark last night, as I arrived in town. There will be thousands more here for the football game tonight. 
    MLB wanted neutral sites that didn't give either team a home-field advantage. That's why the NL went to Texas, where there isn't an NL team, and the AL went to California to have its DS and CS rounds at NL ballparks. Weather. Neutral site. Hotel availability. Those were the guiding ideas.
    How much is Randy Flores to blame for the organization's poor offensive evaluation?
    Well, Dylan Carlson was his draft pick. Delvin Perez, too. I'm not sure he is to blame at all, really. To me, it doesn't seem like the Cardinals are having a hard time identifying talent. They are having a difficult time accessing it, unlocking it, growing it at the big-league level. Flores isn't involved in that.
    What will the Cardinals do with Carlos Martinez? The situation seems pretty frustrating for everyone involved at this point.
    They will explore trades this winter for the righthander.
    Awesome response on my Arenado question. Your work is appreciated. Here’s a follow-up... if we do add more talent in the trade do they add cash to make his AAV closer to Goldy’s? I don’t know what the precedent for that is.. but man they have to do something to get him off their books
    There is precedent for a team to cover part of the salary, yes. The Cardinals have been paying some of Mike Leake's salary for a few years now. They paid for him to move. Colorado would have to cover some of it -- but know that, traditionally, that means the talent the Rockies will command goes up, and it's already high. That is why deals like this are so different in 2015-2020+ compared to when Jocketty was taking on money and offering less talent 15+ years ago.
    Mr. Goold: Why do you entertain such one-sided trade suggestions? Since you do, I have one for you. Harrison Bader and Tyler O'Neill for Juan Soto. Bader and O'Neill strike out so much they will bring a breath of fresh air to the D.C. area.
    I entertain them because people ask, and when people ask, I can offer an answer on why the trades won't work, and hopefully -- hopefully -- help move the conversation toward a place where more reasonable trades can be discussed. I am trying to offer you the information on how trades work, how they come together, how difficult they are, so that chatters are more informed when they talk about them. If I delete questions that suggest absurd trades, then what benefit is that to the person who took the time to ask? They'll never know. We can have good discussions on trade possibilities without lapsing into the classic message board or sports radio scenarios. That's the goal, at least. You get to decide if that works for you.
    This trade won't work for DC and is clearly a joke. You would get a ha ha ha emoji back.
    Do you see fans in the stands, both in the spring and regular season without a vaccine or an extremely good treatment?
    I have no idea. I won't even begin to play infectious disease specialist, let alone culture police on this subject. I can only speak from experience: Having driven around to a lot of places this year and seen many different interpretations of mask mandates and social distancing practices, that curve ain't flattening without changes. 
    It seems optimistic to suggest spring training will be normal.
    I want to be optimistic. This year has not been kind to optimists. 
    Home runs win games these days only because teams don't even try any other way. They're all using the same blueprint. There's no comparing apples vs oranges. It's just apples and apples and apples. The winner will be just the team that executes that plan better than the other teams that are executing the very same plan.
    Don't you think that's because -- it works? It is a copycat business, and one of the reasons why is because other teams see what works and then copy it. This is working. These teams are winning. Other teams want to win. So they do what other teams are doing to win. It takes an outlier to change the game, and those outliers are less and less and less and less because analytics isn't just deciding how we evaluate the game, they're now dictating how the game is played.
    Hi Derrick. Tried getting a question through earlier, but don't think it got in. Relates to Nelson Cruz. If the DH remains and he intends to keep playing (both of which seem to be the case), would he not make sense as a cost-effective addition to the offense? Wouldn't command the term or the money of, say, Springer and gives us a bridge to the next phase of St. Louis Cardinals baseball when the club hopes Carlson and Gorman are the faces of the franchise.
  • He would, yes. Absolutely. Short-term deals are going to be of interest.
    Has there EVER been another team challenging for the playoffs In September that has batted a clean up hitter with a .182 batting average?
    I don't know off the top of my head. I do know there was never a team challenging in the playoffs that has only played 60 games before it. So, that's definitely a factor. I'd have to take some time to do some serious research to answer your question, and that would limit my ability to answer questions in there. Maybe someone else knows off the top of their head.
    If there's anything this post-season has proved, it's that teams need a certain amount a "swagger" to really succeed. Whether it's Acuna, Ozuna, Bellinger, Betts, Arozarena, Margot, Correa, etc., having that fire and energy is a huge boost. Where do the Cardinals get that? The bench seemed lifeless this year
    Part of that was COVID-19 protocols. Part of that was not advancing to the bubble-round here in Texas. Part of that was ... winning. Winning begets fun like that. I think winning brings the best swagger, not the other way around. You don't see Cody Bellinger strutting away from a strike out because he has swagger. Nope. He saves that for a home run that puts his team ahead. So, that first. Swagger second.
    When will we see Gorman playing third for the big club? 2022 at the earliest? Also is it possible to see Liberatore in 2021?
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