They look to me like a .500 team. And I'm not basing that on the outcome of the games but based on their strengths and weaknesses. This team is good enough to beat bad teams (North Texas, SEMO, Central Michigan), flawed enough to lose to average/above average SEC teams (Tennessee) but also good enough AND flawed enough to play competitively against teams that are equal or slightly below/above in talent (Kentucky, Boston College).
The toss-up games were always going to define this season: Kentucky, BC, Tennessee, South Carolina, Arkansas.
I always figured Mizzou would be a decided underdog against A&M, Georgia and Florida ... and a decided favorite over Central Michigan, SEMO, North Texas and Vandy.
Win the latter, lose the former and win three of five toss-up games and you get to 7-5. Well, they've played three of the toss-up games and lost all three.
Only one outcome so far this year surprises me - just how badly Mizzou lost to Tennessee. Go back to my preseason prediction. Yes, I overrated the ability of this defense and had MU at 8-4. But I also expected the UK and BC losses. I thought MU would beat the Vols but wouldn't have been shocked by a close loss ... 62-24 was shocking.