Join columnist Ben Frederickson for a live STL sports chat at 11 a.m. Tuesday
Ben Frederickson answers your Cardinals, Blues, St. Louis City, Mizzou and SLU questions in Tuesday's 11 a.m. live chat.
3rd & 7 37yd
3rd & 7 37yd
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Indeed. Marmol was too trustful of Helsley coming off the finger injury and too slow to react when trouble struck. That cost the Cardinals Game 1, but not the two-game series. Scoring a combined three runs over two home games and none in Game 2 was the the continued, bigger problem from this vantage point.
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Ben!!
Why is Houston #1? They have only played 2 ranked teams and lost one. Their SOS is 98. 3-1 in Quad 1 wins but others have more (Kansas 6-1, Purdue 6-1....etc...). ...and the AAC isn't exactly a powerhouse conference (no one has less than 4 losses other than Houston). I just don't see it. What am I missing? -
One loss in a Quad 1 game. Undefeated (4-0) on the road. Top-10 offense per KenPom and perhaps the best defense in the nation, at least so far, whether measured in 3-point percentage allowed, 2-point percentage allowed, blocks or steals. All top-10. And name brand factor, after an Elite Eight appearance last season. No problem with that ranking here.
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The offense going dark in the playoffs has a lot to do with RH ace pitchers shutting down our RH power hitters in the middle of the order. Nothing Mo has done seems designed to add a LH power bat to either separate or protect Goldy/Arenado. What gives anyone a reason to believe that the problem is solved by (a) Carlson's wrist will be that much better, (b) Noot will massively power up, or (c) Gorman can improve pitch recognition and fastball driving that much?
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With all of the hype, you'd think Jordan Walker is Albert Pujols 2.0. Many expecting him to have a top 10 all-time rookie campaign. That's not only unlikely, but a way for fans to later call an otherwise excellent season a dud. Can you help set some realistic expectations for me?
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I wouldn't be surprised if he mixes it up (or wins) the NL rookie of the year race in 2022. I think that could be possible for a few reasons. One, he's good. Two, he's going to get a chance to make the team out of spring training. And three, the Cardinals outfield is not exactly the hardest thing to crack at the moment, and how much a rookie plays factors into that race. That said, you never know how a guy is going to adjust to the big leagues and continue adjusting as the season progresses. Health matters. We can reasonably set expectations for proven players who have a track record of major league performance. Not rookies. That's what makes it fun, but also what suggests against banking on production from a player who has not yet debuted. The Cardinals should treat Walker as a hopeful situation sweetener, not a main ingredient to be relied upon from the jump.
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The Mets are OK at shortstop even after the Correa pivot. Francisco Lindor can play shortstop and Eduardo Escobar plays third. The Red Sox, however, probably need a shortstop. Trevor Story just had elbow surgery, it was announced today. Rough timing. Not full blown TJ but he's going to miss time.
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I'd reconsider your evaluation of Lopez. I see a lot to like there, and the Cardinals along with the Yankees and Dodgers in the recent past have wondered if there's a fit. He hasn't yet pitched his age-27 season and is showing an increased ability, as you would hope to see, of piling on starts and innings. He would have led last year's staff in strikeouts, by 20-plus Ks.
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I like Nootbar, I do, I think he could be a good player. But he hasn't even had a full season of good hitting at the majors. His first half last year put him in the minors then his second half put him in contention to be the starting CF? This is the cardinals problem. They see 2 months of a player at his best then assume he is that player then they'll spend the next 4-5 seasons saying "if we can just get him back to his 2nd half insert year here production then we think we have a really good player" I've heard it too many times. examples Kolten Wong, Jack Flaherty, Tyler O'neill, Dylan Carlson, Paul Dejong, Michael Wacha. Yes injuries have affected some of these players I get it, but come on
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Ben, players like Nolan Gorman & Matthew Liberatore missed an entire year of development in the minor leagues due to Covid. Have the Cardinals done a disservice to them with how aggressively they placed them in AAA (coming out of the pandemic years), bypassing a normal rung of the development ladder of AA? And, with that placement, more hype/expectations were placed on them early because they were so close to the Major leagues (at AAA). These guys are still too young, with too much promise, to be giving them away in trades, in my humble opinion.
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I think there's less of a difference between Class AA and Class AAA every day, and it shows in how players -- not just Cardinals players -- sometimes skip steps entirely. There is more development going on than ever before at the major league level, for a few reasons. One is the shifting landscape that makes it less valuable for teams to stash talent in the minors. Another is the trending away from paying older non-elite players, which means more chances for younger (cheaper for a time being) options. The minor leagues are shrinking as well. And certain rule changes, like the NL's embrace of the designated hitter means guys who can do major league ready things with the bat don't have to be held back to season their defense, because they can help a team with their swing now. I don't think the answer is holding guys back longer. I think it's taking steps to make sure teams that rely on young, unfinished players are making sure they're finding ways to continue the development process at the major league level. It's not ideal, but it's reality.
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Brandon's Noot comment nailed it! And it doesn't mean that players who are a year removed from a productive season like O'Neill or Carlson shouldn't be given another chance. But the DeJong thing is ridiculous and this idea that he showed it for two weeks this summer after his first half minors stay and that is worthy of yet another season of futility at the plate just highlights their stubbornness as a club. It also makes the three straight Wild Card exits look glaringly like a club who thinks they are smarter than everyone else or one unwilling to to reinvest in the club to the level that they receive financial support from their fanbase.
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Not sure what you mean by the DeJong thing. He could be traded. He has no starting role on the team right now. The Cardinals don't seem interested in paying him to walk away, and that's about it. Anything else beyond that is speculative. No one should be surprised the offseason talk about him is rosy. That's every team with every player at this time. I'm not sure what Tommy Edman has to do to get acknowledged as existing this offseason.
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No, there are some tough and proud players on that line. And if the Blues are going to do anything, it's time to play that way. But they've got to do it consistently and as a group. The response after the injuries to Tarasenko and O'Reilly has been strong, but can it be sustained? They've been wildly erratic in performance so far.
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I don't mind Andrew Knizner and Ivan Herrera (maybe a little bit later in the season) competing for those backup reps, if both are still around. The Cardinals are planning on a lot of starts for Contreras. His agent said 120-140 starts was the discussed goal when the two sides sat down this offseason.
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I imagine he was hoping for more, but let's be clear about the situation going back from the start. The Cardinals rescued him from the Rockies. It was an understanding at that time that he was here for the long haul, and he honored that. Arenado knows what it's like playing for a bad team. He knows this is not one of them. He has perspective.
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Thoughts on Mozeliak's Sunday radio comments? I found his tone and defensiveness to be insulting to my intelligence as fan, to be honest. Unprompted and unchallenged, he repeatedly said payroll was going up a few months ago. The expectations he set was that it would not only go up a sliver out of financial necessity/technicality.
For him to then defensively say "we'll be playing at a higher payroll than last year, that's Fact #1" was just....something. He's using semantics to tell us "see, I was right." It just rubs me the wrong way.
He also said that they had the "opportunity" to do something, but that it just didn't make sense. It doesn't make sense to pay for a generational shortstop talent? It doesn't make sense to pay for a starter in Carlos Rodon who strikes literally everyone out?
It made sense for the teams who are already better than the Cardinals and just further widened that gap. -
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Hey Ben, happy New Year! Sadly I won't be able to make the trip to St. Louis for the upcoming BBWAA trivia night. I attended the virtual one a year or so ago and really enjoyed it. I hope that there will be more virtual opportunities like that in the future - it was a lot of fun to get a team together from all over the country.
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center no-repeat #999999;cursor:pointer;top:-8px; border-radius: 2px;">↵Thanks! We are looking forward to getting together January 3. More details here below. I'd like to do a mix of in-person and virtual events moving forward. I know it's being discussed.
St. Louis Baseball Writers Trivia
EventbriteCome test your Cardinals, baseball, and St. Louis knowledge against other fans while mingling with writers on the eve of spring training! -
Gotta go, folks. Thanks for your time. Do me a favor and sign up for the newsletter if you have not. Link below.
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